Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.113217 11.819387 13.682543 15.862550 18.337404 21.053611 24.254083
2025-12-07 7.543672 9.938633 12.825104 16.531461 21.132522 26.622557 33.631440
2025-12-14 5.654156 8.222808 11.576651 16.211749 22.376440 30.210287 40.820612
2025-12-21 4.373375 6.933608 10.515232 15.782016 23.197783 33.115584 47.197912
2025-12-28 3.785360 6.453247 10.405677 16.519766 25.531748 38.081487 56.570028
2026-01-04 3.268397 5.961787 10.168471 16.982094 27.445074 42.545308 65.519922
2026-01-11 2.774709 5.404801 9.726565 17.038336 28.704743 46.107210 73.377758
2026-01-18 2.375389 4.926949 9.326155 17.078201 29.892285 49.592186 81.299013
2026-01-25 1.976778 4.371725 8.706484 16.661588 30.277921 51.836957 87.445649
2026-02-01 1.652448 3.892249 8.142442 16.252702 30.602078 53.960195 93.483624
2026-02-08 1.353768 3.403016 7.483910 15.583587 30.395454 55.175743 98.110596
2026-02-15 1.126343 3.016578 6.960130 15.086043 30.415568 56.726126 103.324494
2026-02-22 1.025502 2.909034 7.006324 15.734629 32.657307 62.357261 115.969095
2026-03-01 0.920773 2.774533 6.986208 16.270571 34.780386 68.006957 129.143275
2026-03-08 0.765116 2.475153 6.561730 15.931708 35.214340 70.720582 137.467965
2026-03-15 0.630771 2.194322 6.126711 15.504124 35.416135 73.006488 145.161231
2026-03-22 0.583297 2.143680 6.220865 16.229799 37.975989 79.779515 161.240544
2026-03-29 0.526699 2.051224 6.197026 16.684937 40.015419 85.702106 176.104997
2026-04-05 0.458900 1.904724 6.010973 16.740295 41.215957 90.094818 188.390680
2026-04-12 0.399952 1.769363 5.829407 16.779550 42.377054 94.473427 200.878849
2026-04-19 0.333631 1.586413 5.483550 16.369268 42.507386 96.812358 209.610093
2026-04-26 0.278119 1.422924 5.159812 15.966616 42.606803 99.078419 218.304700
2026-05-03 0.224790 1.246518 4.760444 15.307749 42.044790 99.935692 224.266752